Status: 08.05.2022 18:03
Schleswig-Holstein has elected a new state parliament. The count is currently in progress. The clear winner could be the CDU. This is suggested by the forecast published by infratest dimap at 6 p.m.
Accordingly, the Christian Democrats receive 43 percent. For an absolute majority they need 35 seats in the state parliament, with this forecast they would get 34 seats. The SPD would come to 15.5 percent and thus reached a historic low since 1947. According to the forecast, the Greens can expect 17 percent, the FDP 7 percent. The AfD therefore receives 4.9 percent and has to worry about re-entering the state parliament. The SSW would be represented with 6 percent in the new state parliament, although the party representing the Danish and Frisian minorities is exempt from the five percent hurdle.
Compared to the 2017 state election, the CDU would gain 11 percentage points, the SPD would lose 11.8 percentage points according to the forecast. The Greens improve by 4.1 percent, the FDP loses 4.5 percentage points. The AfD deteriorated by one percentage point, the SSW increased by 2.7 percentage points.
Leading candidates from the major parties vote
Those entitled to vote were allowed to vote for a direct candidate in their constituency and with the second vote for one of the 16 participating parties. All the top candidates from the major parties have cast their votes: Günther from the CDU, Losse-Müller from the SPD and Heinold from the Greens. The estimated turnout at polling stations in Schleswig-Holstein is 61 percent.
Daniel Günther from the CDU is the favorite
Prime Minister Daniel Günther’s CDU is the favourite. Günther would like to remain head of government in Schleswig-Holstein and advocates a continuation of the Jamaica alliance. The 48-year-old is challenged by his deputy Monika Heinold from the Greens, who has been finance minister in the country for ten years. Thomas Losse-Müller from the SPD would also like to work in the state chancellery.
According to polls, a two-party alliance is possible, Jamaica rather unlikely
Polls by infratest dimap recently saw the CDU in the lead among voters, followed by the SPD and the Greens. The CDU and FDP have spoken out in favor of a resumption of the Jamaica coalition that has been in power since 2017, while the Greens have not committed themselves. Despite poor poll numbers, the SPD hopes for a government alliance with the Greens and SSW or with the Greens and FDP. According to surveys, a CDU-led two-party alliance would be mathematically possible – a continuation of the Jamaica coalition of CDU, Greens and FDP seems rather unlikely.
additional Information
