Faced with the sharp resumption of the Covid-19 epidemic in France, Emmanuel Macron must address the French this Tuesday, November 10 at 8 p.m. on TF1. The head of state is also expected to address other topics, such as upcoming reforms and the country’s economic situation.
Who says presidential address said new announcements. At least, this is the pattern to which the French have become accustomed for two years, with the arrival of the pandemic. Rare are the times when the head of state has spoken on television to announce good news. The fears of a return of the curfew or the establishment of a new containment are therefore well founded.
What the Institut Pasteur says
In its latest models, published this Friday, November 5, the Institut Pasteur judges unlikely re-containment or even a curfew.
Experts believe that “high vaccination coverage” in France and the maintenance of barrier gestures should make it possible to avoid in the coming months a “significant resumption of the epidemic, even when taking into account the cooling of temperatures” , and therefore not to know again “very restrictive measures such as curfews or confinement”, specifies 20 minutes.
Mahmoud Zureik, hospital practitioner in epidemiology and public health reassures our colleagues: “Even if there is a short-term resumption of cases, in the next 2-3 months, there will not be a number of deaths and hospitalizations as important as what we experienced during the first three waves “, due to the massive vaccination in France.
Without forgetting that, since the announcement of Emmanuel Macron’s speech, appointments for a third dose of the vaccine have jumped.
And then, even if we suffered a new wave, with the vaccine which protects 90% of severe forms, hospitals would not be saturated and the several hundred daily deaths would be avoided. These were the two reasons that prompted the most restrictive measures, such as confinement and curfews in the past.
Let us not forget either that with the approach of the presidential election, awakening the “grumbling” of the French by imposing a new confinement on them would not be very wise.
Apart from the epidemic, what will the President talk about?
In his last speech, on July 12, Emmanuel Macron announced the obligation to vaccinate caregivers, the extension of the health pass and the end of free PCR tests. This time, the head of state could evoke the third dose, the wearing of the mask or the pension reform. He should also undoubtedly recall the importance of respecting barrier gestures.
The President of the Republic must also speak again of “engagement income“, an income of 500 euros for young people aged 16 to 25 neither in employment, nor in training, nor in study. The thorny subject of pensions will also be discussed, according to BFMTV. A word on COP26 is also planned