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“important today”
War in Ukraine: Why peace cannot be achieved through calls for a ceasefire
Prof. Ursula Schröder: “The scenarios that we are going through here are very pessimistic as far as the duration of the war is concerned. The question is whether the war will end at all.”
© IFSH
Of course, the peace researcher Prof. Ursula Schröder cannot predict when the war in Ukraine will end. There is no clear scenario as to how peace could return – but there are many approaches that cause opinions to drift apart.
Recently, a number of German celebrities – such as author Juli Zeh or science journalist Ranga Yogeshwar – in an open letter called on politicians to end the Ukraine war through negotiations and once again questioned whether arms deliveries are the right way.
The idea of ending the war in Ukraine with a “ceasefire that is currently to be called for” is unrealistic, says peace researcher Prof. Ursula Schröder in the 310th edition of the podcast “Today’s Important”: “We are dealing with an extreme to wage brutal war of aggression. If the arms deliveries were simply suspended now, it would mean that Ukraine would be less able to defend itself and would definitely not be able to negotiate – because there would simply be no negotiating table.”
According to Prof. Schröder, arms deliveries undoubtedly prolong the war – an extension that is wanted. Because an end to the war would currently mean a victory for Russia. “But the western alliance wants to enable Ukraine to negotiate from a position of strength,” she says in an interview with “Today’s Important” host Michel Abdollahi, although it’s unclear whether that will work.
© TVNOW / Andreas Friese
Podcast “important today”
Sure, opinionated, on the 12: “today important” is not just a news podcast. We set topics and initiate debates – with attitude and sometimes uncomfortable. Host Michel Abdollahi and his team speak out for this star– and RTL reporters with the most exciting people from politics, society and entertainment. They let all voices have their say, both the quiet and the loud. Anyone who hears “important today” starts the day well informed and can have a well-founded say.
An end to the war in Ukraine is probably a long way off
According to Prof. Schröder, the scenarios played out in peace research are very pessimistic when it comes to the duration of the war in Ukraine: “The question is whether the war will end at all.”
In the long term, there is likely to be no alternative to diplomatic solutions, says the peace researcher, “but the diplomatic solution is not yet on the table.” All warring parties must first recognize that the military goals cannot be implemented.
When Prof. Ursula Schröder looks into the future, from her point of view the world order has changed and will change in the future. Dropped into a time of many other crises – the pandemic, the climate crisis, hunger and inequality – this war is amplifying these tendencies and damaging the international cooperation needed to combat these crises. “The new world order will be messy, it will be complicated. We are probably dealing with the end of the liberal world order.”
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