Relative majority for Ensemble!, Nupes first opposition, strong push from the RN (Ifop)

More than 48 million voters are called to the polls on Sunday for the second round of an election where Emmanuel Macron hopes to obtain a new majority against a revived left. First thunderclap: the defeat of the Secretary of State for the Sea Justine Benin in Guadeloupe.

8 p.m.: Relative majority for Together!, strong push from the National Rally

According to the estimate of Ifop-Fiducial for TF1 and LCI, Together!, the alliance of the presidential majority, obtains only a relative majority with between 210 and 250 seats. The Nupes will be the first opposition alliance with between 150 and 180 seats, the National Rally is making a major push for between 80 and 100 seats. The Republicans keep them between 60 and 70 seats.

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5:30 p.m.: A record estimate of 54% abstention according to Ifop

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The participation rebound did not take place. According to an estimate by Ifop-Fiducial for TF1 and LCI, it would reach 54%, the details of this remain to be known, depending on the duels presented.

5 p.m.: Legislative: 38.11% turnout at 5 p.m., down from the 1st round

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Participation in the second round of the legislative elections reached 38.11% on Sunday at 5:00 p.m. in mainland France, according to the Ministry of the Interior, a figure down 1.31% compared to the first round, a week ago, where it stood at 39.42%.

On the other hand, it is up compared to the second round of the 2017 legislative elections where it reached 35.33% at the same time.

3:30 p.m.: Polynesia elects three separatist deputies, including a 21-year-old

New Caledonia and Wallis and Futuna, which had largely voted for Emmanuel Macron during the presidential election, elected three Macronist deputies on Sunday while Polynesian voters elected three independence candidates supported by Nupes, during the second round of legislative elections.

1 p.m.: Emmanuel Macron voted in Le Touquet

Legislative: Emmanuel and Brigitte Macron voted in Le Touquet… in the rain

12:30 p.m.: Elisabeth Borne has voted

Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne voted in Vire (Calvados), this Sunday noon.

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12 p.m.: 18.99% turnout at noon

The participation in the second round of the legislative elections reached 18.99% Sunday at 12:00 p.m. according to the Ministry of the Interior, a figure very slightly up (0.56%) compared to the first round a week ago when it was stood at 18.43%.

It is also up compared to the second round of the 2017 legislative elections where it reached 17.75% at noon. On the other hand, it is down compared to the second round of the presidential election on April 24 (26.41%).

8 a.m.: opening of polling stations in metropolitan France

Polling stations opened on Sunday at 8 a.m. in mainland France for the second round of the legislative elections where 48.7 million voters are called upon to elect their deputies and give or not a majority to President Emmanuel Macron in the Assembly.

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Justine Benin eliminated in Guadeloupe, new Nupes deputies in Martinique and Guyana

The outgoing deputy and member of the government Justine Benin was beaten in the second round of the legislative elections in Guadeloupe while the voters of Guyana, Guadeloupe, and Martinique sent to the Assembly several deputies supported by Nupes.

Eight of the nine candidates supported by Nupes for this second round were elected in Martinique, Guadeloupe and Guyana, which therefore remain mainly on the left. In addition to that of Justine Benin, the Republic on the move loses a seat in Guyana and another in Guadeloupe, the outgoing deputy Olivier Serva having chosen to renounce the party of Emmanuel Macron for this election.

They had already carried Jean-Luc Mélenchon in first position during the first round of the presidential election on April 10.

Despite the significant score won by Marine Le Pen in these territories during the second round of the presidential election, the only RN candidate to have reached the second round, Rody Tolassy in Guadeloupe, did not manage to dislodge the outgoing deputy Max Mathiasin (DVC ) in Guadeloupe.

-Guadeloupe-

Guadeloupe remains on the left: the only Macronist candidate in the election, the Secretary of State for the Sea and outgoing deputy Justine Benin was beaten, while three elected deputies out of four were supported by Nupes. Abstention was once again very high with less than 28.23% participation.

In the first constituency, outgoing MP Olivier Serva, ex-LREM and supported by LFI for the second round, not without causing a stir within the party, was elected with 74.04% of the vote.

In the second constituency, Christian Baptiste, candidate for Nupes, was elected with 58.65% of the vote against outgoing MP Justine Benin recently appointed Secretary of State for the Sea.

In the third constituency, RN candidate Rody Tolassy failed to win a parliamentary mandate while it was in the archipelago that Marine Le Pen had won her best score (nearly 70%) in the second round. of the presidential election. Outgoing MP Max Mathiasin (SE), who came second in the first round, finally won in this second round (52.12% of the vote).

In the fourth constituency, without suspense, Elie Califer, supported by LFI, was elected with 100% of the votes cast. He was the only candidate in the running after the withdrawal of his opponent Marie-Luce Penchard.

-Martinique-

Jiovanny William, Marcellin Nadeau and Johnny Hajjar, supported by LFI, will discover the benches of the National Assembly for the first time in their political career. They were elected respectively in the first (Centre), second (North) and third constituency (Fort-de-France) of Martinique. Jean-Philippe Nilor was elected for the third consecutive time in the fourth constituency (South). He largely beat his predecessor and former mentor Alfred Marie-Jeanne.

The political formation of the former president of the Executive Council of the Territorial Collectivity of Martinique, the Gran Sanblé, was also beaten in all the constituencies of the island when it had succeeded in qualifying its four candidates in the second round. legislative ones.

Higher than in the first round, turnout remained very low since just a quarter of voters went to the polls (25.71%, up 4 points from the first round).

– Guyana –

Guyanese voters have chosen the renewal. In the first constituency, which includes the Cayenne prefecture, it is Jean-Victor Castor who endorses the costume of deputy. This activist of the Movement for Decolonization and Social Emancipation (MDES) won over Yvane Goua who was supported by LFI in this constituency left vacant by the various left deputy Gabriel Serville elected head of the territorial community of Guyana (CTG).

In the second constituency, Lénaïck Adam, who was supported by the presidential majority, was dislodged from his seat as deputy by Davy Rimane. The trade unionist, supported by LFI, won 54.12% of the votes cast.

During the second round, abstention declined in both constituencies.

– Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin –

Frantz Gumbs, the diverse-center candidate backed by the presidential majority Together! was elected deputy. He won 67.21% of the votes cast, i.e. 3,921 votes. The turnout was very low on both islands, at 24.56%, almost two points less than in 2017 (26.11%).

– Saint Pierre and Miquelon –

After a close duel, the former president of the territorial community (2017-2020) Stéphane Lenormand (AD, various right) was elected deputy for this territory in the single constituency, with 50.36% of the vote, against Olivier Gaston. Only 19 votes separate the two candidates and 186 invalid ballots were recorded.

The overall participation rate for this second round of legislative elections in Saint-Pierre and Miquelon is 55.95%, up slightly from the first round (53.45%) but below the 75.35% reached during the second. round in 2017.

Read also: Legislative: the issues deciphered by Bruno Jeudy

In total, 1,148 candidates will be in the running in the second round, against 6,293 on the first last Sunday, including 655 men and 493 women. Among the contenders, there will be 370 outgoing, 70 of them having bitten the dust in the first round.

This second round comes to close a long electoral sequence opened on April 10 by the first round of the presidential election which had seen the broad re-election of Emmanuel Macron ahead of Marine Le Pen. But the party looks more uncertain in the legislative elections, after the surprise breakthrough of the alliance of leftist parties Nupes and the far right.

In the first round, the outgoing majority, which is running under the label Ensemble! (LREM, MoDem, Agir and Horizons), arrived neck and neck around 26% of the votes with the left alliance (LFI, PS, EELV and PCF). Marine Le Pen’s RN totaled 18.7%, or 5.5 points more than in 2017, ahead of Les Républicains and its UDI allies who fell to 11.3%.

Read also: Edouard Philippe, master on board

So there are many uncertainties: what score for the left? If the presidential coalition wins, will its majority be absolute – it takes 289 deputies out of 577 – or relative, as the polls do not rule out?

A record abstention in the first round

While more than one in two voters (52.5%) abstained for the first round, mobilization is a decisive issue in this heat wave weekend. In the 2017 legislative elections, abstention reached 51.3% in the first round and 57.4% in the second, a record since 1958.

“Will the Nupes succeed in mobilizing the youngest who did not vote in the first round?” For the outgoing majority “are there reservations in a legitimist electorate who would not have voted thinking that Emmanuel Macron’s victory was acquired?” Asked the president of the Elabe Institute, Bernard Sananès.

Read also: Exclusive – Frédéric Dabi: “With such strong abstention, the death knell tolls for everyone”

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