Opinion poll
SPD overtakes AfD
According to the survey, he is looking forward to better times: Chancellor Olaf Scholz
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For the first time in almost a year, the SPD is on the rise in the Forsa survey. Meanwhile, support for Friedrich Merz in the CDU is shaky.
The SPD is catching up: For the first time since June 2023, the party is in a regular forecastUprising again in front of the AfD. Compared to the previous week, the SPD improved to 17 percent – the AfD is unchanged at 16 percent. This is the result of the representative Forsa survey commissioned by RTL on Tuesday.
The Left also recorded slight growth. However, with currently three percent of the vote, she would not enter the Bundestag. The losers in the survey are the Union (30 percent) and BSW (4 percent). Both lose one percentage point each. The Greens and FDP remain unchanged at twelve and five percent.
The respondents answered the Chancellor’s question in a similar way to the previous week. If they could vote for the Chancellor directly, most would choose Friedrich Merz (23 percent) – and against Olaf Scholz and Robert Habeck (17 percent each). If Annalena Baerbock were up for election instead of Habeck, 16 percent would vote for a female chancellor.
Survey: Who wants Merz?
So would Friedrich Merz be the better chancellor? The majority of Germans believe: No. Only 35 percent of Germans are convinced that Merz would do a better job than Chancellor Olaf Scholz. A majority of 57 percent do not believe this.
Even within his own party there are doubters. At least a third of CDU/CSU supporters do not believe that Merz would be a better chancellor than Olaf Scholz. However, Merz could still convince a majority of the supporters of the CDU, FDP and AfD.
Notes on methodology: The opinion research institute conducted the survey Forsa A total of 2,505 people in Germany were surveyed on April 23rd to 29th, 2024. The error tolerance is +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey is representative.
Transparency note: The star is part of RTL Germany.