Never eleven without twelve? Already used around ten times under the authority of Elisabeth Borne, the 49-3 should again be drawn by the government on Wednesday evening during the vote on the public finance programming project. This text, not to be confused with the traditional State and Social Security budgets, must serve as a roadmap for the French budgetary trajectory over the period 2023-2027.
Does the government have a majority to pass it? ” No. We take our responsibilities,” says an executive from the Renaissance group at the Assembly, who is counting on a triggering by Élisabeth Borne at the end of the evening, a prediction shared by another Renaissance source. The Council of Ministers deliberated on the use of 49-3 on Wednesday according to government sources, thus paving the way for its use by Elisabeth Borne.
An unblocking tool
The government, which can only draw 49-3 on a single text per session, excluding budgets, could take advantage of being in an extraordinary session to use it. Objective: keep a cartridge for the ordinary session which will begin at the beginning of October. “I don’t know anything about it, we’ll see, it’s a government decision,” assured Wednesday the President of the National Assembly Yaël Braun-Pivet on France 2, defending this constitutional weapon “a useful tool to avoid the blocking”.
There is “a strong probability that we will move to 49-3 quickly,” admitted a minister on Tuesday. We must “trivialize this act,” he notes, because Élisabeth Borne, in the absence of an absolute majority in the Assembly, will be led to draw around ten 49-3 votes in the fall on the budgets of the State and Social Security.