While the second round of the presidential election will take place in five days and the candidates have multiplied their trips across France this weekend in order to convince undecided voters, 20 minutes continues to compile for you the latest results of the polls carried out in recent days by all the polling institutes, such as Ipsos, Ifop-Fiducial, Opinion Way, Elabe, Oxoda and BVA.
The debate between the two rounds, which will take place this Wednesday, April 20, is an event that is always crucial and scrutinized by observers and voters. It could thus allow Marine Le Pen to reverse a trend in the polls which has been rather unfavorable to her since her qualification in the second round on April 10, or Emmanuel Macron to increase his lead over his opponent.
Voting intentions Emmanuel Macron – Marine Le Pen for the second round
According to a recent survey Ipsos Sopra Steria for franceinfo and Le Parisien-Today in France published on Monday April 18, Emmanuel Macron sees his lead over his rival Marine Le Pen continue to grow slowly. Indeed, the outgoing president is credited with 56% favorable voting intentions, against 44% in favor of the candidate of the National Rally, a difference of 12 points. The candidate of La République en Marche has seen his lead increase slightly since April 10, when the institute Ipsos gave him 54% favorable voting intentions.
By default, we show you the latest polls published by Ipsos. By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.
What was the impact of the 2017 debate on voting intentions?
If the dynamic is rather in favor of Emmanuel Macron in recent days, the debate which will take place tomorrow is likely to reshuffle the cards. On May 3, 2017, when Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen were already face to face during the debate between the two rounds, the RN candidate presented herself there with a favorable dynamic in the polls, up 5 points between its qualification in the second round and the day before the debate, increased from 36 to 41% of voting intentions according to Elable.
The last poll of the campaign, published the day after the debate, had been less favorable to him. It had thus lost 3 percentage points, regressing to 38% favorable voting intentions, as shown in our graph below. Emmanuel Macron finally won on May 6, 2017, with 66.1% of the votes cast against 33.9% for his rival.
It will therefore be crucial for the two candidates to approach and master this debate as best as possible, so the impact will certainly be reflected the next day in the polls that the various institutes will publish.
By default, we show you the latest polls published by Elabe. By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.
Consult the following sources Ispos, OpinionWay, Ifop-Fiducial, Elaba, BVA, Oxoda to learn more about the surveys featured in this article.
Until the second round of the presidential election, we will continue to regularly provide you with an update on voting intentions, provided by the various polling institutes.