Not even Liverpool FC (16) scored as often in the group stage of the 2023/24 Europa League season as SC Freiburg (17). The Black Forest have twelve out of 15 possible points and one Goal difference of +12 (17:5). Nevertheless, they would have missed out on winning the group if Christian Streich’s team’s away win against Freiburg at West Ham didn’t work out.
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This unfortunate starting position is due to the fact that the team from Breisgau lost the first leg against the Hammers 1-2. Consequently, the draw in their own stadium is enough for the Londoners, who suffered a 1-2 defeat at Olympiacos Piraeus on matchday 3. Against this background, the prediction for West Ham against Freiburg that the Irons will get a direct ticket to the round of 16 is very consistent.
West Ham – Freiburg odds | 3 top tips
Betting odds as of December 13, 2023, 10:41
But precisely because of the incredible offensive enthusiasm that the sports club has shown so far in the Europa League, the strike team will certainly strive to play for victory again at the London Stadium. This would eventually be the case Save two competitive games in an already busy schedule in spring 2023. We expect the Black Forest team to be correspondingly powerful and it could be correspondingly high in goals.
Against this background, the bet on over 2.5 goals is very interesting, which also takes West Ham United’s curious recent results into account. A surprising 2-1 away win in the London Derby at Tottenham was followed by an even more surprising 0-5 in the next London Derby at Fulham.
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West Ham – Statistics & current form
West Ham United secured an international title for the first time in 58 years this summer. The European Cup Winners’ Cup in 1965 was followed by overall victory in the UEFA Conference League.
Now the footballers from London’s East End want to continue their recent successes at international level. In 2021/22, the Irons also went on their way to the semi-finals of the Europa League, where the Hammers had to admit defeat to eventual overall winners Eintracht Frankfurt.
Nine home wins in a row in competitive European games
“We are thrilled to be playing in Europe after Christmas for the third season in a row.”
David Moyes’ team didn’t let up much in the group stage. There was an unexpected 1-2 away defeat at Olympiakos Piraeus on matchday 3. However, the Hammers won all of the other four group games with 7-2 goals – including the first leg in Breisgau (2:1).
Consequently, in the run-up to the second leg between West Ham and Freiburg, the odds are now tipping towards the Londoners, who have won all of their last nine European home games at the London Stadium, including the qualifying rounds. The Irons could now become the fifth team from England to record ten home wins in a row in Europe.
The Hammers sometimes lack consistency
The Conference League winner, who had a very complicated season in the Premier League in 2022/23, is currently in a somewhat better position nationally as ninth in the top English league. However, there have not only been 30 goals conceded in 16 league games, but also, above all, six defeats.
Time and time again, the Hammers lacked consistency. After an unexpected 2-1 away win at Tottenham, the Irons lost remarkably 5-0 in another derby at Fulham FC last Sunday.
Expected West Ham line-up:
Injured and suspended West Ham players:
West Ham’s last games:
Freiburg – Statistics & current form
SC Freiburg recently got off to a dream start in the Bundesliga twice in a row and fought for a long time to get into the Champions League in both 2021/22 and 2022/23. In the end, the Black Forest team reached the Europa League in both cases, in which they reached the knockout rounds last season.
It is already clear that the sports club will still be in the draw in spring 2024. The only question is whether Christian Streich’s team will move straight into the round of 16 as group winners, or whether they will meet a team in mid-February that was eliminated from the Champions League in third place.
No team scored more often in the Europa League than Freiburg
Although SC Freiburg really doesn’t play a major role in the Europa League winner 2024 forecast and is clearly in the shadow of top teams like Liverpool, AS Roma, Leverkusen, Brighton, West Ham, Villarreal or Atalanta Bergamo, the Black Forest has at least all of these teams One rating has so far clearly been left behind: in terms of goals scored.
The team from Breisgau scored a whopping 17 goals on the first five matchdays of the group phase – and with that an average of 3.4 goals per Europa League group game. Accordingly, the tip for West Ham against Freiburg is that things will get down to business again in the second leg at the London Stadium.
The second fewest away goals in the Bundesliga
In addition, the Bundesliga club comes to its first ever competitive game in England with a lot of momentum. The Black Forest team have won their last three competitive games in a row without conceding a goal and have climbed back to eighth place in the top echelon of German football.
Meanwhile, the sports club has to increase its performance data in the distance. In the Europa League, both guest games in Piraeus (3:2) and at FK TSC (3:1) were won. In the Bundesliga, however, the Breisgauer team managed just six goals in eight Bundesliga away games – the second lowest figure in the league. The fact that those six goals are enough for a score of ten out of 24 possible points (sixth place in the away table) also speaks for the efficiency of Baden-Württemberg.
Expected line-up for Freiburg:
Injured and suspended Freiburg players:
Last games of Freiburg:
Our West Ham – Freiburg tip in the odds comparison December 14th, 2023 – Over/Under
West Ham – Freiburg Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 1 – 0 – 0
West Ham United’s 2-1 away win in Breisgau was also the first meeting between the two teams. The Hammers therefore lead the direct comparison against the Black Forest, who are now playing a competitive game in England for the very first time in their club history.
Statistics highlights for West Ham against Freiburg
Betting base forecast & West Ham – Freiburg Tip
Basically, our prediction for West Ham against Freiburg is that the Londoners will win a point, which would mean they will win the group. A bet on the Hammers still involves high risks. The range of recent results was too wide, which was clearly shown in the last two games: a 2-1 at Tottenham was followed by a 0-5 at Fulham.
- West Ham could beat an opponent from Germany in two games in a season for the first time in the club’s history
- Freiburg is playing a competitive game in England for the first time and is the only team to ever play at the London Stadium after Frankfurt (the SGE won here 2-1 in April 2022).
- West Ham have won their last nine European home games in a row (including qualifying rounds)
- No team scored as many goals in the five matchdays of the Europa League preliminary round as Freiburg (17)
- Two different players have already scored a hat trick in the Europa League for Freiburg in the 2023/24 season (Grifo against Backa Topola and Gregoritsch against Olympiakos)
With a view to the fact that the Bundesliga club the most goals in the Europa League group phase so far scored (17), the Black Forest team can be expected to put in a brave performance in their first ever competitive game in England. Against this background, betting on a high-scoring match is very interesting.
For over 2.5 goals, betting odds of 1.67 are available for West Ham against Freiburg, which we at Betano use with five out of ten units. New customers of this betting provider can currently not only claim a 100% deposit bonus of up to €80 with the Betano welcome bonus, but also an exclusive €20 free bet.
West Ham vs Freiburg – best odds Europa League
victory West Ham: 1.80 @Tipwin
Draw: 4.20 @Bet365 victory Freiburg: 4.15 @Bet-at-home
West Ham – Freiburg – Betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance:
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals: 1.65 @Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 2.20 @Bet365
Both teams score
YES: 1.66 @Bet365
NO: 2.10 @Bet365
Betting odds as of December 13, 2023, 10:41