US Democrats: Obama started the discussion about reorientation even before the election

Before US midterm elections
“Don’t be a fun brake”: Obama has already started a discussion about the realignment of the Democrats

It already seems certain that the midterm elections will not end well for the US Democrats. While at least the Senate majority is still being fought for, the discussion about a realignment has already begun – initiated by a prominent voice.

In the past week, everyone in the state of Pennsylvania could see that things are not looking particularly good for the US Democrats shortly before the midterm elections. The president and vice president did what they almost never do and came together to campaign in the Swingstate in the so-called Rustbelt to salvage what can be salvaged. For a long time it looked as if popular Deputy Governor John Fetterman would secure the Senate seat for the Democrats. Yet during a TV debate with Republican opponent Mehmet Oz, it recently became very clear that Fetterman is not yet ready for a confrontational exchange of blows after overcoming a stroke. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris joined forces to limit the damage, because Pennsylvania is one of the states that could tip the Senate seat ratio in favor of the Republicans. Most recently, Oz was three percentage points ahead in polls.

Fetterman’s unsuccessful TV debate is one of a series of isolated incidents and fundamental strategic errors that are likely to make it difficult for President Joe Biden to govern after the November 8 election. The majority in the House of Representatives is already considered lost. It is all the more important for the Democrats to hold onto the Senate, in which they already have the majority because two independent senators almost always vote with the Democrats and Kamala Harris, as Vice President qua office, is the decisive factor in the event of a stalemate. So the full commitment of the Pennsylvania government was not exaggerated.

Obama: Democrats can’t be a fun killer

While the Senate is still being fought for, blame and a realignment are already being discussed in the party. At the forefront: ex-president and celebrity Barack Obama, who in one Interview with the podcast “Pod Save America” already said three weeks ago that Democrats and progressives must be careful not to wither away into fun-stoppers by constantly insisting on political correctness. “When we talk about (…) bringing together lasting majorities, then we have to be able to talk to everyone about their common interests,” Obama said. Incorrect language or a fundamental preference for groups that have been victims in the past separates the party from many groups of voters.

Like Bernie Sanders, who is flirting with a presidential candidacy in 2024, Obama also fears that the Democrats have committed themselves too early and too one-sidedly to abortion as a campaign issue after the Supreme Court overturned the landmark decision Roe v Wade. That did get the Democrats ahead in the polls for a while, but over time inflation, fear for one’s job, economic inequality in the country and things in general that affect one’s own life have become more important again, as Sanders said on CNN. The Republicans benefited from this because the Democrats had failed to compare their own economic viewpoints to those of the conservatives, according to the senator from Vermont.

Democrats: Midterms already lost?

Obama’s interview caused quite a stir within the party. It is considered the clearest indication so far that the Democrats will realign themselves with a view to the 2024 presidential election – and that the midterms have essentially already been lost. It is said that Obama obviously wants to play an important role in the realignment. When asked why he expressed himself in this way so shortly before the election, he said an unnamed party strategist told the portal “The Hill”: “I think he’s doing it because they anticipate huge losses in the elections and he wants to take a leadership role in leading the party after the losses. It basically portrays him as the smart guy who understood why the Democrats will lose, but he wasn’t necessarily listened to,” the strategist added. “It gives him the opportunity to have a particularly strong influence on the way to 2024.”

A number of younger Democrats are either already picking up the ball or driving the debate on their own. They are calling for a “new generation” and “fresh blood” because the party leadership has lost contact with many sections of the electorate. That should also target Joe Biden, who is already the oldest president in US history and is still considering another term in office. However, his approval ratings are very low. And that, as some MPs are quoted as saying, will not only affect the midterms to the detriment of the Democrats, but will probably also affect the presidential election.

There will definitely be discussions

As Obama and other thought leaders look beyond the upcoming election, some party strategists believe it’s still possible to retain control of Congress on November 8 – against the polls. But that does not mean that there will be no discussion about a reorientation. “There’s always debate after we lose an election, and there should be debate when we win the election,” said party strategist Mike Lux, who was a White House adviser to Bill Clinton. “Just because you won doesn’t mean you’ve done everything right. The party will discuss well in either case and then move forward.”

Sources: Pod Save America; “FiveThirtyEight”; The Hill; CNN; “politico”