Survey on the Thuringia election
AfD loses, Höcke gains, BSW double digits
March 19, 2024, 10:25 p.m
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There is still no clear coalition in sight for the state elections in Thuringia in late summer. The government alliance of the Left, SPD and Greens also does not have a majority in a new survey. At the same time, the AfD is falling in favor with voters. The Sahra Wagenknecht alliance is in double figures straight away.
A good six months before the state elections in Thuringia, the AfD is paying for one MDR survey in favor of voters. Nevertheless, the party remains by far the strongest force. The ruling minority government made up of the Left, the SPD and the Greens is once again far from having its own majority. The survey currently sees six parties entering the Erfurt state parliament on September 1st. A coalition with its own majority is still not possible without the participation of the CDU or AfD. In view of various preliminary determinations or federal political guidelines, it is once again difficult for the Free State to form a government.
The right-wing populists around their state leader Björn Höcke currently have 29 percent. The CDU accounts for 20 percent. Prime Minister Bodo Ramelow’s Left Party has 16 percent, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) has 15 percent. The SPD can currently expect 9 percent and the Greens 5 percent. The FDP, which is currently still represented in the state parliament and led by short-term Prime Minister Thomas Kemmerich, plays practically no role in the survey with less than 3 percent – and would no longer be in parliament.
Compared to the previous “Thuringia trend”, the AfD lost five points and is the biggest loser. The Left loses four points, the CDU and SPD each lose one point in popularity. The values for the BSW were not queried in July last year.
Meanwhile, the work of the state government is rated even worse by those surveyed. Only 35 percent are satisfied or very satisfied with Ramelow’s coalition – three points less. 38 percent said they were less satisfied. 24 percent don’t like R2G’s work at all.
Nevertheless, Ramelow would be able to win a direct election as Prime Minister of the Free State. 44 percent of those surveyed would give him their vote. CDU state leader Mario Voigt would get 17 percent. While both lost, Höcke made gains: 16 percent of those eligible to vote would now vote for him – seven points more than in July 2023. At least 37 percent are also in favor of the AfD participating in the government. 35 percent of BSW supporters would also be in favor.
According to the information, a total of 1,182 Thuringians were surveyed by telephone and online between March 14th and 18th for the “Thuringia Trend”. The survey by Infratest dimap is representative.