After the protests against right-wing extremism, the AfD suffered a bitter defeat in the polls: the party lost 1.5 percentage points.
After the big weekend of demonstrations against right-wing extremism, in which hundreds of thousands took to the streets of Germany and also protested against the AfD, a new survey is likely to be particularly bitter for the party.
In the current Insa opinion trend for “Bild”, the AfD loses 1.5 percentage points and falls from 23 to 21.5 percent. This is the party’s “biggest poll decline in almost two years,” writes “Bild” about the result. The AfD remains the second strongest force, eight points behind the SPD. According to Insa, 57 percent of Germans basically cannot imagine voting for the AfD.
However, the traffic light government cannot benefit from the AfD downturn. The government of Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) only got 31 percent in the survey. This puts it 21 percentage points behind its result in the 2021 federal election. The FDP remains at five percent. The Greens can improve by half a point (12.5 percent).
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The other parties recorded the largest increases in the last survey. With an increase of 3.5 percentage points, their current share is 11.5 percent. These parties also include the “Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht” (BSW).
Union remains the strongest force
At 30.5 percent, the Union lost half a percentage point compared to the previous week, but remains the strongest force. The Left Party is moving further and further away from the five percent hurdle, has to give up one point and falls to three percent. The Free Voters also lost half a percentage point at 2.5 percent.
According to “Bild”, the survey was carried out between January 19th and 22nd, 2024 – partly during and after the major protests against right-wing extremism.
Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.