It is not surprising news that Kerstin Schreyer will also be the direct candidate of the CSU in the state elections next year in the southern district of Munich. Nor that she was nominated as a candidate for the fourth time by her party with a large majority. But it could be surprising news if Schreyer were not re-elected in October 2023. Unlikely? Not necessarily. And surprising? Until then, maybe less and less. Because the MP from Unterhaching is carrying a package with her into this election campaign that could become more and more of a burden for her.
As a former transport minister, the CSU politician bears a good deal of responsibility for the disaster surrounding the second S-Bahn trunk line. As it turns out more and more, Schreyer left the city of Munich and the surrounding districts in the dark for a long time, against their better knowledge, about the massive cost increases and construction delays. This could fall on her feet now. Especially since this secrecy should also resent party friends in the district from the district administrator down. If the Greens and SPD succeed in exploiting the former head of department’s complicity in the scandalous events in the Ministry of Transport during the election campaign, then Schreyer’s re-election in the constituency will hang by a thread. Without a direct mandate, however, she would have no chance of remaining in the state parliament, because as a rule no one gets a chance at the CSU via the list.
The Greens could increase their chances of taking over the constituency in the southern district of Munich from the CSU in a year by letting their MP Claudia Köhler, like Schreyer at home in Unterhaching, stand here this time instead of in the constituency of Munich-Land North as in 2018. Köhler is at least as present and rooted in the south of the district as Schreyer and could become seriously dangerous. So it would only be a limited surprise if the Greens were to send their strongest woman in the district against the CSU constituency deputy.