Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour tied in the polls, Valérie Pécresse retains her second place

The presidential election will take place on April 10 and 24, 2022. Almost two months before the first round, we have summarized for you the results of the polls carried out over the last fortnight by various institutes: Ifop-Fiducial, Opinion Way, Ipsos, Elabe as well as’Harris-Interactive. The graphs in this article allow you to view a summary of voting intentions in the first and second rounds by institute and by opposition scenario in the second round.

Voting intentions in the first round of the 2022 presidential election

Lately, the battle rages between the candidates of the right and the extreme right to try to qualify for the second round, in particular between Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour. Indeed, the latter has recently benefited from the rallying of several supporters from the National Rally.

In the polls, these latest developments are reflected in an increasingly close duel between the two far-right candidates and Valérie Pécresse. According to the latest survey Ipsos dated February 3, the candidate of the Republicans is given qualified in the second round with 16.5% of the voting intentions (Emmanuel Macron at 24%), leaving Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour tied for third place and eliminated in the first turn with 14% of voting intentions.

In another poll, published on the same date by OpinionWay, Eric Zemmour, credited with 14% of the voting intentions, is approaching the two candidates. Marine Le Pen is given qualified in the second round with 17% of the voting intentions, Valérie Pécresse remaining in ambush with 16%.

Emmanuel Macron maintains a comfortable lead in all the latest polls, and navigates between 24% and 25% of the vote.

By default, we show you the latest polls published by Ipsos. By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Valérie Pécresse

If Valérie Pécresse qualified in the second round against the outgoing President, she still has a deficit of around ten points according to the latest statements fromIfop-Fiducial.

In contrast, OpinionWay and Ipsos give a much smaller lead to Emmanuel Macron, credited with respectively 52 and 53% of the voting intentions.

By default, we present the latest polls published by Opinion-Way. By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Marine Le Pen

In the event of a remake of the second round of the 2017 presidential election, all of the latest statements predict a similar outcome. Indeed, OpinionWay, Ipsos and Ifop-Fiducial credit the outgoing president with 55 to 57% of the voting intentions against the candidate of the National Rally.

By default, we present the latest polls published by Opinion-Way. By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Eric Zemmour

While he has still not formalized his candidacy, Emmanuel Macron finds himself in a position of strength in the event of a duel against Eric Zemmour. This sails beyond the 61% of voting intentions according to OpinionWay and Harris-Interactive. Elaba in its poll of February 2 attributes 64.5% of voting intentions in the second round.

By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive. By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

For more on the polls featured here, check out our sources below:​

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