According to an extrapolation by the Wahlen research group, the SPD with top candidate Olaf Scholz will be the strongest force in the federal election in 2021, while the union with Armin Laschet follows in second place. The Greens with top candidate Annalena Baerbock landed in third place.
The result of the extrapolation at a glance:
This results in several possible government constellations for the Bundestag. An SPD-led traffic light coalition with the Greens and the FDP would be possible, red-green-red would now have no majority. But the Union could also form a government. According to the extrapolation, a so-called Jamaica coalition of black, green and yellow would have a majority.
In this year’s general election, there were probably significantly more postal voters than four years ago due to the pandemic. Projections are based on the counting of votes cast in ballot boxes and postal votes compared to older elections; Post-election surveys can also be incorporated into them.
SPD Chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz said he was delighted with his party’s performance in the federal election. “Of course I’m happy about the election result,” said Scholz on Sunday evening in Berlin. “That’s a great success.” Many voters had made it clear that they wanted a “change in government” and that the next Chancellor should be Olaf Scholz.
Union Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet wants to reach a Union-led federal government despite the losses. “We will do everything in our power to form a federal government under the leadership of the Union,” he said and again chose the word “future coalition”. With this he indicated an alliance with the FDP and the Greens. The election result was a major challenge. “That is why all democrats must now make a great effort,” he said. “We have to hold Germany together.”
Green Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock praised the alleged performance of her party as the “historically best result”. Baerbock was also self-critical: “We came for the first time to shape this country as a leading force,” said the Greens co-party chairman at her party’s election party in Berlin. “We wanted more,” she admitted.
FDP leader Christian Lindner suggested preliminary clarifications between his party and the Greens with a view to a possible new government constellation. It might be advisable that the parties that campaigned against the status quo of the grand coalition talk to each other first in order to structure everything that comes afterwards, said Lindner on Sunday evening in the “Berlin Round” of ARD and ZDF .