The former magistrate Jean-Paul Garraud leads the list of the National Rally in Occitania. – Alain Robert – Sipa
Quadragular, even quinquagular… According to a Ifop poll* exclusive released this Tuesday for The gallery and Europe 1, many candidates could be in a position to hold on on June 20 on the evening of the first round of regional elections in
Occitania. But without being able to influence the showdown announced between Carole Delga, the socialist president, and Jean-Paul Garraud, the leading MEP of the RN.
Three weeks before the election, the study predicts, as in 2015, that the RN will lead the first round with 30% of the vote against 26% for the outgoing.
Unequal reservoirs of voices
Three other candidates would be able to pass the 10% mark and therefore remain for the second round: Aurélien Pradié, the deputy from Lot and secretary general of the UMP, at 14%, and who has already announced that he would not agree with any other list; Vincent Terrail-Novès, the ex-UMP mayor of Balma supported by LREM, at 13%; and the ecologist Antoine Maurice at 10%. Myriam Martin, head of the LFI list, is given at 6%.
If in the second all Carole Delga did not unite the left, she would end up neck and neck with Jean-Paul Garraud with a score of 31% for the two candidates. But in the more probable hypothesis of an agreement with EELV and therefore of a quadrangular, it would win with 37% of the votes. Jean-Paul Garraud would stagnate at 30%, his score in the first round.
* Carried out on a sample of 1,003 people