Voter migration in the European elections
Plucked traffic light: See here who the CDU, AfD and BSW stole votes from
Voter migration in the 2024 European elections: The balance at the AfD.
© stern / Imago Images
The European elections were a slap in the face for the traffic light parties, who suffered a lot of defeats. The winners were the Union parties, while AfD and BSW gained ground. Many people also preferred not to vote at all. Look at how the voter flow has been since the last elections.
Heavy losses for the traffic light coalition, a successful start for the BSW, many non-voters – the The 2024 European elections brought a lot of movement to the flow of voters. Quick checks on the individual parties can be found below, and more detailed figures on voter migration can be found in the infographic below.
Voter migration to the European elections: quick checks on the parties
The union was able to steal votes from the traffic light parties in particular. The Union suffered losses mainly from the camp of non-voters.
The same thing happened to SPD: In addition to the losses to the Union, AfD and BSW, almost 2.5 million former SPD voters decided not to cast a vote this time.
The green are also in a pretty bad position: They lost votes mainly to the Union, but also to the camp of non-voters. In addition, they were particularly driven by the BSW Votes from
The third traffic light party FDP suffered a similar fate to the coalition partners: many former voters did not vote this time. The Liberals also lost votes to the Union, AfD and BSW
The AfD was one of the big winners of the European elections: she was able to steal votes from virtually all parties, but also lost votes to the BSW. Around 380,000 former AfD supporters also became non-voters.
The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) was there for the first time and was able to score points straight away: Voters switched to the BSW, especially from the SPD and the Left. But the newcomer also took votes from all other parties and was also able to motivate non-voters to go to the polls.
Sahra Wagenknecht’s previous party, however, lost ground: Previous left-Voters mainly switched to the BSW, but also to the AfD and the Union. Many did not vote at all and became non-voters.
For more details Click through the graphics below and see how voter flows changed for each party.
Graphic I: Overview of voter trends
About the data used: Voter migration is a rough estimate that compares the migration flows between the last federal election and the European election. The election research institute Infratest Dimap determines the inflow and outflow of voters between the parties for the ARD. The basis is an estimation model that takes into account, among other things, surveys on election night (so-called exit polls), the result of the preliminary count on election Sunday and changes in the electorate itself (such as new first-time voters).
Source: daily NewsData status: June 10, 2024, 2:06 a.m.
Further graphics: Results of the 2024 European elections
The map below shows the parties with the most votes in each state. Below the map you will find detailed results for each federal state.
Above you can see the provisional official final result, further data on the 2024 European elections can be found here