The political scientist Raphael Bossong played out this scenario in a future study: It clearly shows which factors favor the rise of the right. Europe must prepare for this, he says.
In 2027, the French will decide who will move into the Élysée Palace as president after Emmanuel Macron. The election will be a fateful moment for Europe. At least that’s what a new study says Science and Politics Foundation (SWP). If right-wing forces win the presidential election, then the moment will come at the latest when right-wing nationalists can massively change the European Union’s agenda. The political scientists Raphael Bossong and Nicolai von Ondarza examined the conditions under which this would become likely for the SWP’s foresight study. In the interview, Bossong explains why the European elections are now crucial and how the rise of right-wing forces can be counteracted.