Poland vs. Argentina Tip, Prognosis & Odds 11/30/2022

Slide rule out – on the last preliminary round of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, the question of qualifying for the round of 16 has not yet been clarified in many groups. In Group C, all four teams still have a chance of promotion, and three teams also have a chance of winning the group. It is very likely that this will be determined when Robert Lewandowski and Lionel Messi meet. Between Poland and Argentina is a tip on the South Americans the most likely outcome, the betting odds are just under 1.50.

Table of Contents

Before the direct duel, the Poles are leading the table with four points (and not conceding a goal), Argentina recovered from the embarrassing opening defeat and now has progression in their own hands again. Victory would be almost equivalent to winning the group – and depending on the outcome of the parallel game, Poland could even afford to lose and still reach the World Cup round of 16 for the first time since 1986. Due to the initial situation, Poland will focus on the defensive. In this regard, the forecast for a game between Poland and Argentina without many scoring opportunities is quite obvious.

Poland v Argentina odds | 3 top tips

Betting odds as of: 30.11.2022, 11:06
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In the parallel game, Mexico and Saudi Arabia face each other. Although the Mexicans are still without a win, El Tri is considered the clear favourite. Should Messi & Co live up to their role as favorites and win, Mexico would not only have to win, but also catch up at least four goals compared to Poland. A preview for this – and all other games – is in our World Cup category to find.

Our value tip:

Do both meet? no
at BildBet to 1.60

Betting odds as of: 30.11.2022, 11:06
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Poland Stats & Current Form

Polish football has a rich history, with the national team finishing third at World Cups in both 1974 and 1982. The Bialo-Czerwoni (the White-Reds) are now miles away from such successes, despite the outstanding qualities of Robert Lewandowski. Participation in the World Cup is already a success, the last time they reached the round of 16 was in Mexico in 1986.

Speaking of Mexico: The game started against the El Tri and Robert Lewandowski’s nerves gave out from the ominous point. His miss prevented early qualification for the knockout stage. So trembling is the order of the day and the team of head coach Czeslaw Michniewicz will do everything to keep the goalless draw as long as possible.

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Wojciech Szczesny didn’t concede a goal

In Russia 2018, Poland lost to Senegal and Colombia at the start and were eliminated after two games. After all, there was a 1-0 win against the Japanese selection at the end. Together with the game against the Blue Samurai and the first two appearances in Qatar in 2022, the Polish defense has now kept three consecutive clean sheets in a World Cup game. History could be made on Wednesday as Poland have never managed four consecutive World Cup games without conceding a goal.

At the forefront is Robert Lewandowski, one of the best strikers in the world (136 caps, 77 goals), but under head coach Michniewicz (in office since the beginning of the year) the offensive is not the showpiece. In the eleven previous international matches in 2022, just twelve goals have been scored, which is due to the very wait-and-see style of play. There were 13 conceded goals during this period, six of which rained in the heavy 1:6 Nations League defeat against Belgium.

The Poles already place a lot of value on the defensive and due to the situation that a draw means a permanent advancement, they will probably form a similar defensive block as Mexico tried against the gauchos. For a long time, Argentina struggled to become dangerous. A very likely scenario where a draw at half time sounds interesting. Between Poland and Argentina, odds of 2.20 are set for this tip by us tested bookmaker Bet365 offered. 15 of the first 28 World Cup games in 2022 were even 0-0 at halftime, which is also an option with slightly higher odds (up to 2.62).


Estimated formation of Poland:

Szczesny – Bereszynski, Kiwior, Glik, Cash – Frankowski, Krychowiak, Bielik, Zielinski – Milik, Lewandowski

Last matches of Poland:

Argentina Argentina – Stats & Current Form

After his first World Cup goal (the 2-0 win against the Saudis), Robert Lewandowski felt a great weight lifted from his heart, he almost had tears in his eyes while celebrating. The backpack that Lionel Messi was able to take off after his long-range hit was probably even bigger. “La Pulga” had to put up with scorn and ridicule after the embarrassing 2-1 draw against Saudi Arabia, but was able to bring his homeland back to life.

Always Messi

Only with the World Cup could Lionel Messi silence his critics at home. In the run-up to the World Cup, the hopes were justified, after all Argentina did not lose any of their last 36 international matches. After the embarrassment against the no-name group Saudi Arabia, the world title was no longer an issue. They did their homework against Mexico, but the Albiceleste did not shine.

Despite a lot of possession, Argentina could only fire the first shot in the 40th minute. Overall, the game was tough stuff for the neutral fan, because nine shots (Argentina five, Mexico four) were the fewest since accurate data collection began (1966 World Cup). In the end, however, no one asks how the victory came about, the three points ensure that Argentina can look ahead positively again. Lionel Messi redeemed his homeland and has scored for the sixth consecutive international match and now has eight World Cup goals. He drew level with Diego Armando Maradonna, only Gabriel Batistuta has scored more times at World Cups (ten).

There is still a lot of room for improvement in terms of play, but this is not to be expected against Poland. Argentina has big problems against deep opponents and needs the individual class of Messi, Di Maria, Martinez & Co. This is given and accordingly between Poland and Argentina the tip on the gauchos is justifiable. In addition, the Albiceleste won the last group game in 2010, 2014 and 2018.


Expected formation of Argentina:

Martinez – Acuna, Lisandro Martinez, Otamendi, Molina – Mac Allister, Enzo Fernandez, de Paul, Di Maria – Messi, Lautaro Martinez

Last matches of Argentina:

Our Poland – Argentina tip in odds comparison 11/30/2022 – 1/X/2

Betting odds as of: 30.11.2022, 11:05
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Poland – Argentina Head-to-Head Comparison / H2H Balance

The database contains eleven games between the two national teams. This showdown has already taken place twice at a World Cup. In 1974, Poland celebrated a 3-2 win in Germany against the South Americans, who returned the favor four years later with a 2-0 win at home.

Of course, these duels are not an indicator for the game in 2022, this also applies to the nine other friendlies. Those were held between 1966 and 2011. In June 2011, Poland managed a 2-1 win against a B team from Argentina. Then as now, Wojciech Szczesny and Robert Lewandowski are in action on the Polish side.

Statistics highlights for Poland Poland vs Argentina Argentina

Betting Base Prediction & Poland Poland – Argentina Argentina Tip

Lewandowski versus Messi – these two outstanding footballers raise the suspicion that a lot of goals are predicted between Poland and Argentina. However, this is not the case, because in this game the defense will primarily determine the game. Poland haven’t conceded a goal in their first two World Cup games and would be more than satisfied with a goalless draw, after all it would be tantamount to reaching the round of 16.

Opta Facts – Poland vs. Argentina tip

  • Poland lost the last three World Cup games against South Americans (no own goal)
  • Szczesny still without a goal at this World Cup
  • A draw is enough for Lewandowski & Co – they could reach the round of 16 for the first time since 1986
  • Messi has scored in his last six international appearances
  • Messi has scored eight World Cup goals – only Gabriel Batistuta (ten) has scored more for the Albiceleste
  • The teams last faced each other in June 2011 – 2-1 for Poland

Argentina didn’t shine with enthusiasm in their first two appearances, but acted surprisingly without ideas and only created a few good opportunities. The pressure on Messi & Co’s shoulders is still high, because a preliminary round would be the next embarrassment. An offensive firework is therefore not to be expected, which results in the prognosis between Poland and Argentina on our three top tips above. The draw at half-time appears to be the best option given the odds on offer. Five units are chosen as the bet. Otherwise, the under 2.5 or the bet that both teams will not score should be considered.

Poland Poland vs Argentina Argentina – best odds World Cup 2022

Poland victory Poland: 7.60 @Bet at home
Draw: 4.33 @Bet365
Argentina victory Argentina: 1.47 @win

Odds probabilities for win Poland / draw / win Argentina:

Poland Poland – Argentina Argentina – Betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance:

Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals: 2.10 @Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 1.72 @Bet365

Both teams score
YES: 2.37 @Bet365
NO: 1.53 @Bet365

Betting odds as of: 30.11.2022, 11:06
* 18+ | Observe terms and conditions

Video: Together with Alexis Ménuge, our “Beidfüßig” hosts are again delivering World Cup tips, forecasts & analyzes of today’s games of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. (Source: YouTube / betting base)


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