Parliament dissolved for July 4 legislative elections, Sunak close to sinking

The British will start the summer by returning to the polls. Parliament was in fact officially dissolved this Thursday and legislative elections will be held on July 4. These could lead to a change of political line in the United Kingdom, with Labor leading the polls ahead of the ruling Conservatives.

After 14 years in opposition, Labor finds itself in a position of strength and its leader Keir Starmer, a former human rights lawyer, appears to be the clear favorite to take over as head of government.

Sunak’s poker move

Unable to stop his party’s fall in the polls, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak tried to regain the initiative last week by calling this election in July when they were not expected until the fall. Since then, this former banker and Minister of Finance has traveled his country at a frenetic pace but has had a difficult start to his campaign, marked by the announcement of the legislative elections in pouring rain or by a visit to the Titanic district of Belfast, inevitably attracting supporters. comparisons with the sinking of the famous liner.

The surprise effect has not had a miraculous effect for the moment and the first week of the campaign has not changed the existing dynamic. The polls place Labor at 45% of voting intentions on average compared to 23% for the Tories, suggesting, given the simple majority voting system, a very large victory for Labor.

A new phase of the campaign opens with the official dissolution of the Parliament elected in 2019, following elections won by a triumphant Boris Johnson against the very left-wing Jeremy Corbyn. The 650 seats in the House of Commons are now vacant and the race for succession is on in the constituencies.

Many elected officials throw in the towel

Whatever the result, these legislative elections promise to be the end of an era at the Palace of Westminster. Some 129 deputies have so far announced that they will not run again and have only had a few days to pack their boxes. Among them are 77 conservatives, an unprecedented exodus for a ruling party.

Some elected representatives of the majority have chosen to throw in the towel in the face of disastrous polls. Others, from all sides, prefer to retrain or devote more time to their family, exhausted by years weighed down by Brexit, the political scandals of the Boris Johnson era and generally increasing public hostility.

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