Status: 07/12/2021 9:40 a.m.
The worsening corona situation and the related economic worries are making investors cautious. The hopes are now on the beginning of the US accounting season.
Despite strong guidelines from Asia and the USA, the DAX starts the new stock market week with minimal price gains and is just above the 15,700 point mark. “The wait for new impulses continues,” said market observer Thomas Altmann from asset manager QC Partners.
He thinks it is possible that these could come in the course of the week from the reporting season starting in the US or at the latest in the next week from the next interest rate meeting of the ECB.
Robert Greil, chief strategist of the private bank Merck Finck, sees the “virus-related economic worries and concerns about braking maneuvers by the central banks” as the main reasons for the reluctance on the German stock exchange. Because the more contagious delta variant of the corona virus is currently causing increasing numbers of infections. If this trend continues, it could jeopardize the economic upturn.
The accounting season begins
This week, investors’ attention will initially be focused on the beginning of the accounting season, which will start as usual with the quarterly figures of the major banks. The forecasts are extremely optimistic.
According to data from Refinitiv, analysts expect earnings growth of 65.8 percent for S&P companies in the quarter. “In addition to the results, it is important to take a close look at the companies’ outlook”, say the Helaba market observers. The positive expectations, however, could increase the potential for disappointment if the companies do not deliver as strong figures as hoped.
Asia’s stock exchanges are advancing
Unlike in this country, the Asian stock exchanges took up the good US specifications from last Friday: the Nikkei index, which comprises 225 values, gained 2.2 percent to 28,547 points, the broader Topix index rose by 2.1 percent and stood at 1953 points . The Shanghai Stock Exchange advanced 0.6 percent.
On Friday the US indices went out of trading with profits, the market-wide S&P 500 had again reached a record high.
A number of important economic data are due for publication over the course of the week. In addition to US inflation data on Tuesday and US industrial production data on Thursday, investors are still expecting Chinese growth figures.
“Expectations about China’s outlook have clouded over the past month due to some disappointing partial data, compounded by the fact that post-pandemic post-pandemic growth has exceeded its peak,” said Westpac analysts.
Oil prices are falling
Oil prices fell slightly at the beginning of the week. A barrel (159 liters) of North Sea Brent cost $ 75.19. That was 36 cents less than on Friday. The price of a barrel of American West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell 34 cents to $ 74.22.
After discounts last week, oil prices are now around three dollars below their multi-year highs in early July. On the one hand, a dispute over the future production policy of the powerful oil network Opec + has recently caused uncertainty. On the other hand, oil prices were burdened by the rapidly spreading delta variant of the coronavirus. By the beginning of July, however, the prices rose significantly over the course of weeks.
Promising means for Bayer
The US health authority FDA has approved the Bayer kidney drug Finerenone in the USA. It was approved to reduce the risk of persistent decreases in the estimated glomerular filtration rate, kidney failure, cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and hospitalization for heart failure in adult patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes. A stock trader emphasizes that the drug is a blockbuster candidate.
Lagarde suggests changes
The President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Christine Lagarde, has suggested changes for the next interest rate meeting next week. Interesting modifications and changes can be expected for the July 22nd meeting, she told Bloomberg TV on the sidelines of the G20 summit on Sunday. “It’s going to be an important meeting.”
In the past week, the central bank adjusted its monetary policy strategy. In addition to a new inflation target, it was decided to take climate aspects into greater account in monetary policy and to incorporate the costs of owner-occupied residential property into the inflation rate in the future.
Insurer for climate protection
Eight large European insurers and reinsurers want to agree on common guidelines for an active contribution to climate protection. The members of the newly founded “Net-Zero Insurance Alliance (NZIA)” have committed to making their insurance portfolios free of greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, as the head of the initiative, AXA boss Thomas Buberl, explained .
In addition to the French AXA, the alliance that came together in the spring includes Allianz and Münchner Rück from Germany, Zurich and Swiss Re from Switzerland, the British Aviva, Generali and the French reinsurer Scor.
Auto industry demands more charging points
The European auto industry warns the EU of a tightening of carbon dioxide limits accompanied by insufficient infrastructure investments. For every further percentage point of the tightening of the target, at least 200,000 additional public charging points for electric vehicles are required – beyond the three million required in 2030, “said the BMW boss and president of the European car manufacturers’ association Acea, Oliver Zipse.
Diess will remain VW boss until 2025
Herbert Diess is to remain CEO of Volkswagen until autumn 2025. That was decided by the supervisory board on Friday. The top manager should therefore receive a new contract for around four more years. So far, Diess was appointed CEO of the largest European car manufacturer until spring 2023. Formally, it is now a new contract that should run until October 2025.